Friday, November 9, 2007

Rudy's third-place showing in Iowa

So, the big news lately has been Mitt's strong poll position in the three early states. But it is Rudy's third-place status in Iowa that has gone largely unnoticed.

According to a November 7 Zogby poll:


Mitt Romney: 31%

Mike Huckabee: 15%

Rudy Giuliani: 11%

Fred Thompson: 10%

What? The so-called front runner is running in third place in the first contest? Giuliani thinks that he can skip Iowa and wait for the "big" states to hold their elections. The problem I see with that logic is that the media (and America) are going to be following the election in Iowa very closely. With Obama and Hillary duking it out in Iowa, Americans will be watching closely for the results of that election. One can only assume that the result of the Republican election would hardly go unnoticed. A third or fourth place showing in Iowa could be not only embarrassing to Rudy, it could be fatal.

1 comment:

Nate Gunderson said...

I seem to remember that when Giuliani pulled out of the Ames straw poll that they stated that he was still firmly committed to caucus. Is he still firmly committed and coming up short? Short - yes, but I don't he's firmly committed anymore because he's seen the writing on the wall. I think someone should call him on it.